REPUBLIKA.CO.ID, JAKARTA -- Political observer Hanta Yuda said Indonesia's Democratic Party-Struggle (PDIP) has only two scenarios to deal with the 2014 presidential election.
First scenario is nominating Megawati Sukarnoputri as president candidate paired with Joko Widodo (Jokowi) as vice president.
Second scenario, nominating Jokowi as a presidential candidate paired with another figure.
"The scenario is Megawati with Jokowi or Jokowi with whom," said Yuda sadi when contacted by Republika on Monday (11/11).
To nominate Megawati-Jokowi couples, PDIP will consider many variables.
First, he explained, the result of 2014 legislative election. If the outcome exceeded 20 percent presidential threshold, then the chances to nominate Megawati is wide open.
Conversely, if PDIP unable to get president threshold, then the chances is the party should nominate Jokowi as pres. candidate.
"If the outcome is higher, Megawati-Jokowi might be nominated," he said.
The second consideration, PDIP will measure the chances of victory of Megawati and Jokowi.
In this case he believed the party will use surveys mechanism to measure electability of Megawati-Jokowi or Jokowi and other figure.
"PDIP will see the more potential figure between the two pair," he said Hanta.
Lastly, PDIP's pres. and vice pres. candidacy will be decided based on political communication among the party's elite.
In this context, he said, PDIP will deeply consider who will be the figure to be their running mate to accompany Megawati or Jokowi.
"Vice Presidential candidate will be the concern of PDIP," he said.
Looking at the results of various surveys, it is difficult for PDIP to break away from the figure of Jokowi.
Yuda said PDI-P should engage Jokowi in any presidential-vice presidential candidacy for the next election.
Internal friction in PDIP about Jokowi's nomination could be happened. However, according to him, the friction is only possible if Jokowi run his candidacy without the blessing of Megawati.
If he is blessed, then the internal solidity of PDIP will be maintained. "Megawati is the key holder of PDIP solidity," he said.
Ed: Mansyur Faqih